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in 2006, the subprime mortgage crisis swept across the united states, and the financial market collapsed in an instant, like an epic disaster. buffett abandoned the stock market and turned to bond investment, which was seen as a "risk-averse strategy" and also reflected his early warning of the us economic crisis. the era he lived in was full of "black swan" and "gray rhino" risks, and these hidden dangers were hidden deep in the economy.

the complexity of the us economy is like a maze. every step needs to be carefully identified to find the right direction. buffett's insight into the us economy allows him to see many potential dangers. the middle east crisis, the russia-ukraine conflict, the real estate housing problem and the us debt crisis all show the challenges facing the us economy.

however, buffett's strategy of "abandoning stocks and investing in bonds" is not simply to avoid risks, but rather a prediction and choice of the future. he believes that in economic fluctuations, investment stability is more important than high-risk returns. as buffett once said: "rule no. 1: never lose money; rule no. 2: never forget rule no. 1."

the rhythm of the us interest rate cut is like a complex and unpredictable dance. it may bring a short-term recovery or trigger new economic fluctuations. buffett's strategy of "abandoning stocks and investing in bonds" is a "stabilization" response to this risk.

his "investment philosophy" reflects a rational understanding of risk and long-term insight into the market. he prefers to see continuous growth rather than pursuing high-risk returns like "gambling".

when the economic crisis came, the investment philosophy represented by buffett became a firm guide. the risks and opportunities he experienced also became learning materials and thinking directions for countless people. the era he lived in forced people to face the cruelty of the economy, and also made us more aware that there is always a delicate balance between risk and opportunity.