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at the beginning of the year, the policy was strong, especially after the 517 new policy, the second-hand housing market showed a significant growth. however, as time went by, the policy effect faded and the transaction volume began to decline. since august, the transaction volume of second-hand housing in key cities has declined month-on-month. according to the data of shenzhen centaline research center, 2,537 first-hand residential properties were signed online and 3,804 second-hand residential properties were transferred. this can't help but make people start to worry, is the property market really in a trough?

however, from another perspective, the market is still full of hope. with the continuous adjustment of policies, new changes may occur in the future. some industry experts believe that interest rate cuts are very likely to happen. the lpr for more than 5 years has been reduced by 80bp cumulatively, and there is still a lot of room for interest rate cuts, which will have a positive effect on promoting consumption and reducing the pressure of existing mortgage loans, thereby helping the market recovery. in addition, the state-owned enterprise storage policy may also usher in optimization and adjustment, which will help ease the pressure on housing supply.

at the same time, some experts predict that the purchase restriction policies in core cities such as beijing and shanghai are also expected to be relaxed. the loosening of policies will further stimulate demand and attract more buyers to participate in the real estate market.

however, the market needs time to recover, and policies should not only stimulate demand, but also focus on improving residents' employment and income. this will be the direction of long-term development.